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Do We Owe Delusion More than We Owe Reality?
Evidence shows that forecasting in the social sciences has a large element of delusion. Is that necessarily bad?
Dec 27, 2024
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James Early
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Do We Owe Delusion More than We Owe Reality?
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October 2024
Is an Unhappier World Better or Worse for Investors?
Happiness in the West is declining, at least according to surveys. Does that mean good things or bad things for the economy?
Oct 24, 2024
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James Early
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Is an Unhappier World Better or Worse for Investors?
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To Diversify or Not?
Academics say diversification is the only free lunch in investing. Charlie Munger says it's for idiots. Who's right?
Oct 11, 2024
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James Early
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To Diversify or Not?
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September 2024
Are Markets Less Efficient -- or Are You?
Value investors lament the death of value investing. But does value investing's going out of style mean markets are less efficient?
Sep 21, 2024
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James Early
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Are Markets Less Efficient -- or Are You?
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August 2024
Most Stocks Lose Money
If you're picking individual stocks, the odds are strongly against you. Here's why.
Aug 14, 2024
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James Early
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Most Stocks Lose Money
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July 2024
Can Investing Make the World Better?
Some investing strategies may help the goose but not the gander.
Jul 2, 2024
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James Early
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Can Investing Make the World Better?
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June 2024
Nvidia: Really the World's Largest Company?
By market cap, Nvidia is huge. By revenue, less so. By profit, it's mixed. Is it worth 42 times sales, though?
Jun 26, 2024
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James Early
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Nvidia: Really the World's Largest Company?
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April 2024
What Are Your Factors?
Factors determine our investing returns. Here's how they work.
Apr 1, 2024
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James Early
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What Are Your Factors?
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March 2024
Can You Trust the Numbers in Investing?
Do P/E ratios mean revert, or don't they? The fact that this doesn't have a clear answer is a reminder that investing is a social science -- with few…
Mar 2, 2024
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James Early
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Can You Trust the Numbers in Investing?
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February 2024
Will Smart Beta Return?
The Magnificent 7 had smart beta down for the count in 2023. Will it return in 2024?
Feb 18, 2024
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James Early
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Will Smart Beta Return?
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Evergrande + Emerging Markets
Evergande's bankruptcy liquidation ruling may undermine Hong Kong's credibility. And will emerging markets finally spring back?
Feb 1, 2024
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James Early
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Evergrande + Emerging Markets
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January 2024
Do Interest Rates Really Affect Stocks?
Interest rates seem to obviously affect stocks. But conflicting research casts doubt on how and how much they actually do.
Jan 26, 2024
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James Early
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Do Interest Rates Really Affect Stocks?
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